ကမၻာ့အခ်မ္းသာဆုံးရင္းႏွီးျမႇုပ္ႏွံသူတဦး ၿဖစ္တဲ WarrenBuffettေၿပာဆိုသြားတာက ကမၻာ့ေရႊစုစုေပါင္းပမာဏဟာ ေၿမေအာက္သယံဇာတမပါပဲ ေၿမေပၚေရာက္ေရႊေတြအားလုံးကို အရည္ၾကိဳ ေရႊေခ်ာင္းလုပ္ၿပီး အနားပတ္ခ်ာလည္ညီညီညာပုံလိုက္ရင္ ၂၀ မီတာ (၆၇ေပ) ပတ္လည္ ရွိပါတယ္တဲ႔ဗ်ာ
အဲဒါတကယ္လား??? အဲဒီေကာင္ ဘယ္လိုသိလဲ??? (ဟဲဟဲေနာက္အုံးမယ္)
အဲဒီခန္႔မွန္းေၿခက
စီးပြားေရးရင္းႏွီးၿမဳပ္ႏွံသူေတြ တြင္တြင္က်ယ္က်ယ္သုံးေနတဲ႔ မွတ္တမ္းတစ္ခုၿဖစ္တဲ႔ ႏွစ္စဥ္ကမၻာအရပ္ရပ္ကေရႊေတြကို စစ္တမ္းထုတ္ေဖာ္ၿပေနတဲ႔ သြန္မ္ဆင္ကရိုက္တာသတင္းဌာနက (GFMS) ကေနရေနတာပါ။
အဲဒိကေန ေနာက္ဆုံးရလာတဲ႔သတင္းအခ်က္အလက္အရ တစ္ကမၻာလုံးမွာရွိတဲ႔ေရႊအေလးခ်ိန္က တစ္သိန္းခုႏွစ္ေသာင္းတစ္ေထာင္႔သုံးရာတန္ခ်ိန္ (၁၇၁၃၀၀ တန္) ရွိပါတယ္တဲ႔ဗ်ာ....
အဲ႔ဒိအေလးခ်ိန္က အခုစာဖတ္ေနတဲ႔ super ဗီလိန္ၾကီး စိတ္ကူးထားတဲ႔ ေရႊေခ်ာင္း ပမာဏနဲ႔ တထပ္တည္းက်ပါတယ္တဲ႔ဗ်ာ....
ေနာက္တနည္းေၿပရရင္ အဲဒိေရႊေခ်ာင္းပမာဏကို ကမၻာ႔အေၾကာ္ၾကားဆုံး တင္းနစ္ကြင္းၿဖစ္တဲ႔ Wimbledon Centre Court မွာ သြားပုံလိုက္ရင္ ေအာက္ကပုံထဲကအတို္င္း ၉.၈ မီတာ(၃၄ေပ) အၿမင္႔အထိေရာက္ႏိုင္ပါတယ္တဲ႔ဗ်ာ....
အဲဒါေပမယ္႔လူတိုင္းေတာ႔ ဒီခန္႔မွန္းနည္းကို လက္မခံၾကပါဘူး.....
တခ်ိဳ႕ ခန္႔မွန္းခ်က္ေတြကေတာ႔ ဒီGFMS ကခန္႔မွန္းတာထက္နည္းတဲ႔ ၁၅၅၂၄၄ တန္ခ်ိန္ဆိုၾကသလို တခ်ိဳ႕ ၾကေတာ႔လဲ ေနာက္ထက္ ၁၆ ဆေလာက္ ပိုမ်ားတဲ႔ ၂.၅ သန္း ေလာက္ပါတဲ႔ဗ်ာ...
အဲဒီ ၂.၅ သန္းတန္ခ်ိန္ေလာက္သာဆုိရင္ Wimbledon Centre Court တင္းနစ္ကြင္းေပၚမွာ ၁၄၃ မီတာ ၿမင္႔တဲ႔ ေရႊ ေမွ်ာ္စင္တိုင္ၾကီး ေထာင္လို႔ရပါတယ္တဲ႔ဗ်ာ (အေပၚကပုံအတိုင္းေနာ္႕)
ဒီခန္႔မွန္းခ်က္ေတြက ဘာလို႔ တန္ခ်ိန္ အမ်ားၾကီး ကြာေနကသလဲဆိုရင္ေတာ႔
ေရႊသမိုင္းပညာရွင္တိေမာေသရဲ႔ (gold historian Timothy Green)မွတ္တမ္းအရ ကမၻာေပၚကေရႊေတြဟာ လြန္ခဲ႔ေသာ ႏွစ္ေပါင္း ၆၀၀၀ ေက်ာ္ကတည္က ရွိေနတာၿဖစ္လို႔ပါတဲ႔ခင္ဗ်ာ....
(ဘယ္ႏွစ္ခုႏွစ္တုန္းကေရႊေတြက ဘယ္မွာဆုိတာလိုက္ရွာၿပီး စားရင္းၿပဳေနကလိုထင္တယ္ေနာ္႔ ဟဲဟဲေနာက္တာ)
ပထမဆုံးေရႊဒဂၤါးျပားကို Lydia ဘုရင္ၾကီး Croesus ရဲ႔ လက္ထက္ေခတ္မွာ ေပၚေပါက္ခဲ႔တယ္ Turkey ၿပည္နယ္က ေရရူခရစ္မေပၚမီ ႏွစ္ေပါင္း ၅၅၀ ခန္႔က စတင္ ရိုက္ခတ္ ထုတ္လုပ္ခဲ႔တာၿဖစ္ပါတယ္... အဲဒီေနာက္ ဒီေရႊဒဂၤါးၿပားေတြဟာ ေၿမထဲပင္ေဒသတ၀ိုက္က ကုန္သည္ေတြနဲ႔ ေၾကးစားစစ္သားေတြအၾကာ ေပးေခ်တဲ႔ သေဘာတူညီခ်က္တစ္ခုအၿဖစ္နဲ႔ လ်င္လ်င္ၿမန္ၿမန္တြင္က်ယ္စြာ အသုံးၿပဳလာၾကပါတယ္တဲ႔ဗ်ာ....
ကိုလံဘတ္စ္ ဆိုတဲ႔ ကုန္သည္က အေမရိကတိုက္ကို စတင္ေတြ႔ရွိခဲ႔တဲ႔ ၁၄၉၂ ခုႏွစ္အထိဆုိရင္ ေရႊ တန္ခ်ိန္ေပါင္း ၁၂.၇၈ တန္အထိထုန္လုပ္ပီး ၿဖစ္မယ္လို႔ GFMS က ခန္႔မွန္းထားပါတယ္....
အမေလးမ်ားလိုက္တာဘာသာၿပန္ဖို႔ မပီးေတာ႔ဘူး
How much gold is there in the world?
Imagine if you were a super-villain who had taken control of all the world's gold, and had decided to melt it down to make a cube. How long would the sides be? Hundreds of metres, thousands even?
Actually, it's unlikely to be anything like that size. Warren Buffett, one of the world's richest investors, says the total amount of gold in the world - the gold above ground, that is - could fit into a cube with sides of just 20m (67ft).
But is that all there is? And if so, how do we know?
A figure that is widely used by investors comes from Thomson Reuters GFMS, which produces an annual gold survey.
Their latest figure for all the gold in the world is 171,300 tonnes - which is almost exactly the same as the amount in our super-villain's imaginary cube.
A cube made of 171,300 tonnes would be about 20.7m (68ft) on each side. Or to put it another way, it would reach to 9.8m above ground level if exactly covering Wimbledon Centre Court.
But not everyone agrees with the GFMS figures.
Estimates range from 155,244 tonnes, marginally less than the GFMS figure, to about 16 times that amount - 2.5 million tonnes.
That bigger figure would make a cube of sides 50m (166ft) long, or a column of gold towering 143m above Wimbledon centre court.
Part of the reason is that gold has been mined for a very long time - more than 6,000 years, according to gold historian Timothy Green.
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“Start Quote
James Turk Gold MoneyAll the gold that has been mined throughout history is still in existence ”
The first gold coins were minted in about 550 BC under King Croesus of Lydia - a province in modern-day Turkey - and quickly became accepted payment for merchants and mercenary soldiers around the Mediterranean.
Up until 1492, the year Columbus sailed to America, GFMS estimates that 12,780 tonnes had been extracted.But one investor who looked at the research done in this area, James Turk, the founder of Gold Money, discovered what he regarded as a series of over-estimates.
He believes that the primitive mining techniques used up to the Middle Ages mean that this figure is much too high, and that a more realistic total is just 297 tonnes.
Tonnes of gold | ||
---|---|---|
GFMS | James Turk | |
Pre-1492 | 12,780 | 297 |
Post-1492 | 158520 | 154947 |
Total | 171,300 | 155,244 |
His conclusions are accepted by some investors but such is the feeling between rival analysts that one competitor described Turk's figures as an alternative to the GFMS's "in the same way that Jedi is an alternative to Christianity".
But there are others who think both sets of figures are too low.
While James Turk makes only minor adjustments to the GFMS figure for the amount of gold mined after 1492, Skoyles points out that even today China is "not particularly open" about how much gold it is mining.
And in some countries, such as Colombia, "there's a lot of illegal mining going on", she says.
She doesn't have an exact figure to offer, but one organisation that has tried to do some maths is the Gold Standard Institute.
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More or Less: Behind the stats
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So who's right?
Well, we don't know. In the end, all these numbers are made up of estimates added to estimates added to yet more estimates. Maybe they're all way off.
The good news is that we are not likely to run out of gold any time soon. The US Geological Survey estimates there are 52,000 tonnes of minable gold still in the ground and more is likely to be discovered.
The bad news is that the way we use gold is starting to change.
"All the gold that has been mined throughout history is still in existence in the above-ground stock. That means that if you have a gold watch, some of the gold in that watch could have been mined by the Romans 2,000 years ago," says James Turk.
The way gold is being used in the technology industry, however, is different.
The British Geological Survey states that about 12% of current world gold production finds its way to this sector, where it is often used in such small quantities, in each individual product, that it may no longer be economical to recycle it.
In short, gold may be being "consumed" for the first time.